RBI policy · Closing edition · Thursday 22 October 2026
RBI policy led the day as the Nifty fell 0.5%
6 reports since yesterday, led by BusinessLine: “Govt bond selloff to continue as RBI policy minutes hint at more rate hikes”
What happened
The Nifty 50 fell 0.54% to close at 22,687.65, and India VIX ended at 15.82.
Who it moved
- Nifty 50
- −0.54% today
Nifty 50 22,687.65 (−0.54%), India VIX 15.82, as of 22 Oct, 15:45 IST.
How we scored it
MethodWhat followed similar days
We found 947 past sessions when the Nifty moved down by a similar amount since 25 October 2016. Five sessions later the Nifty was higher 56% of the time. The median move was +0.3% after five sessions and −0.03% the next day.
Higher by more than 1%
36% of similar days
A quarter of these sessions gained +1.5% or more five sessions later.
Within 1% either way
37% of similar days
The median move five sessions later was +0.3%.
Lower by more than 1%
27% of similar days
A quarter of these sessions fell −1.1% or worse five sessions later.
What happened after similar days in the past, five sessions on. This is history, not a forecast or a target. Daily closes: Yahoo Finance.
Our take
We score this a notable event, 57 out of 100. Across 947 past sessions when the Nifty moved down by a similar amount since 2016, the Nifty was higher five sessions later 56% of the time, with a median move of +0.3%. The record leans positive, but a quarter of those sessions still saw −1.1% or worse. This describes what has happened before; it is not a forecast or a recommendation.
Reports we counted
Govt bond selloff to continue as RBI policy minutes hint at more rate hikes
BusinessLine · 22 Oct, 07:52 IST
Why is the RBI pulling liquidity out of banks and injecting it back again?
The Economic Times · 22 Oct, 06:36 IST
Indian banks open cheque books for ₹10,000 crore-plus in M&A funding after RBI rule change
The Economic Times · 22 Oct, 05:30 IST
RBI flags widening inflation risks, puts rate cuts on ice
The Economic Times · 22 Oct, 01:22 IST
Canadian dollar holds near four-week high as investors stick to rate hike bets
Mint · 22 Oct, 00:12 IST
NaBFID gets Finance Ministry, RBI nod for national infrastructure project repository
The Economic Times · 21 Oct, 21:57 IST
Written automatically from public data using fixed rules; no person picks the event or edits the numbers. This is market information, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. See the disclaimer.