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RBI policy · Morning edition · Monday 26 October 2026

RBI policy is the event to watch today

1 report since yesterday, led by Business Standard: “Satellite lights, Google Trends can help estimate state growth: RBI report”

59/ 100, notable

What happened

Before the open on Monday 26 October, the Nifty 50 stands at its last close of 22,600.00 (−0.39% in that session). 1 overnight report covers RBI policy.

Who it moved

PSU banks
−2.26% last session
Realty
−2.38% last session
Auto
−0.60% last session

Nifty 50 22,600.00 (−0.39%), India VIX 16.76, as of 26 Oct, 08:30 IST.

How we scored it

Method
Market impact (25%)68

Based on the −2.26% move in PSU banks against a usual daily swing of 1.33%.

Company impact (15%)54

17 of the 50 Nifty 50 companies are in the industries this touches.

Investor relevance (15%)90

The fixed weight for RBI policy.

News velocity (15%)20

1 report from 1 publisher in the last 18 hours.

Search interest (10%)25

1 publisher ran it within six hours of the first report. This stands in for search data, which has no free source in India.

Historical significance (10%)53

Outcomes after comparable sessions were 1.06 times as spread out as usual.

Data availability (10%)100

4 of the 4 inputs we use were available.

What followed similar days

We found 891 past sessions when the Nifty moved down by a similar amount since 25 October 2016. Five sessions later the Nifty was higher 56% of the time. The median move was +0.3% after five sessions and −0.03% the next day.

Higher by more than 1%

36% of similar days

A quarter of these sessions gained +1.5% or more five sessions later.

Within 1% either way

37% of similar days

The median move five sessions later was +0.3%.

Lower by more than 1%

27% of similar days

A quarter of these sessions fell −1.1% or worse five sessions later.

What happened after similar days in the past, five sessions on. This is history, not a forecast or a target. Daily closes: Yahoo Finance.

Our take

We score this a notable event, 59 out of 100. Across 891 past sessions when the Nifty moved down by a similar amount since 2016, the Nifty was higher five sessions later 56% of the time, with a median move of +0.3%. The record leans positive, but a quarter of those sessions still saw −1.1% or worse. This describes what has happened before; it is not a forecast or a recommendation.

Reports we counted

Written automatically from public data using fixed rules; no person picks the event or edits the numbers. This is market information, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. See the disclaimer.

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