Log in

Oil prices · Morning edition · Tuesday 27 October 2026

Oil prices is the event to watch today

8 reports since yesterday, led by BusinessLine: “High crude prices, rise in lending rates take toll on small-cap stocks”

65/ 100, significant

What happened

Before the open on Tuesday 27 October, the Nifty 50 stands at its last close of 22,753.20 (+0.68% in that session). 8 overnight reports cover oil prices.

Who it moved

Energy
+1.46% last session
Auto
+0.44% last session
FMCG
+0.28% last session

Nifty 50 22,753.20 (+0.68%), India VIX 17.15, as of 27 Oct, 08:30 IST.

How we scored it

Method
Market impact (25%)56

Based on the +1.46% move in energy against a usual daily swing of 1.04%.

Company impact (15%)32

10 of the 50 Nifty 50 companies are in the industries this touches.

Investor relevance (15%)60

The fixed weight for oil prices.

News velocity (15%)100

8 reports from 3 publishers in the last 18 hours.

Search interest (10%)75

3 publishers ran it within six hours of the first report. This stands in for search data, which has no free source in India.

Historical significance (10%)45

Outcomes after comparable sessions were 0.90 times as spread out as usual.

Data availability (10%)100

4 of the 4 inputs we use were available.

What followed similar days

We found 1072 past sessions when the Nifty moved up by a similar amount since 28 October 2016. Five sessions later the Nifty was higher 59% of the time. The median move was +0.4% after five sessions and +0.09% the next day.

Higher by more than 1%

35% of similar days

A quarter of these sessions gained +1.4% or more five sessions later.

Within 1% either way

44% of similar days

The median move five sessions later was +0.4%.

Lower by more than 1%

21% of similar days

A quarter of these sessions fell −0.8% or worse five sessions later.

What happened after similar days in the past, five sessions on. This is history, not a forecast or a target. Daily closes: Yahoo Finance.

Our take

We score this a significant event, 65 out of 100. Across 1072 past sessions when the Nifty moved up by a similar amount since 2016, the Nifty was higher five sessions later 59% of the time, with a median move of +0.4%. The record leans positive, but a quarter of those sessions still saw −0.8% or worse. This describes what has happened before; it is not a forecast or a recommendation.

Reports we counted

Written automatically from public data using fixed rules; no person picks the event or edits the numbers. This is market information, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. See the disclaimer.

ShareWhatsAppTelegram

All events