Log in

US Federal Reserve · Closing edition · Wednesday 28 October 2026

US Federal Reserve: IT fell 2.0% as the Nifty fell 0.2%

6 reports since yesterday, led by BusinessLine: “Sensex today | Stock Market Live: Nifty 50, Sensex to open on cautious note; Q2 results, US Fed decision in focus”

63/ 100, significant

What happened

The Nifty 50 fell 0.22% to close at 22,698.85, and India VIX ended at 16.36. Among the sectors this touches, IT moved most, −1.98%.

Who it moved

IT
−1.98% today
Financials
+0.47% today
Metals
−0.32% today

Nifty 50 22,698.85 (−0.22%), India VIX 16.36, as of 28 Oct, 15:45 IST.

How we scored it

Method
Market impact (25%)42

Based on the −1.98% move in IT against a usual daily swing of 1.90%.

Company impact (15%)64

20 of the 50 Nifty 50 companies are in the industries this touches.

Investor relevance (15%)65

The fixed weight for US Federal Reserve.

News velocity (15%)84

6 reports from 3 publishers in the last 18 hours.

Search interest (10%)50

2 publishers ran it within six hours of the first report. This stands in for search data, which has no free source in India.

Historical significance (10%)53

Outcomes after comparable sessions were 1.05 times as spread out as usual.

Data availability (10%)100

4 of the 4 inputs we use were available.

What followed similar days

We found 801 past sessions when the Nifty moved down by a similar amount since 1 November 2016. Five sessions later the Nifty was higher 56% of the time. The median move was +0.3% after five sessions and −0.04% the next day.

Higher by more than 1%

35% of similar days

A quarter of these sessions gained +1.4% or more five sessions later.

Within 1% either way

38% of similar days

The median move five sessions later was +0.3%.

Lower by more than 1%

27% of similar days

A quarter of these sessions fell −1.1% or worse five sessions later.

What happened after similar days in the past, five sessions on. This is history, not a forecast or a target. Daily closes: Yahoo Finance.

Our take

We score this a significant event, 63 out of 100. Across 801 past sessions when the Nifty moved down by a similar amount since 2016, the Nifty was higher five sessions later 56% of the time, with a median move of +0.3%. The record is balanced, with no clear lean either way. This describes what has happened before; it is not a forecast or a recommendation.

Reports we counted

Written automatically from public data using fixed rules; no person picks the event or edits the numbers. This is market information, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. See the disclaimer.

ShareWhatsAppTelegram

All events