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US Federal Reserve · Morning edition · Thursday 29 October 2026

US Federal Reserve is the event to watch today

1 report since yesterday, led by Mint: “US Fed meeting October 2026 today: Expectations, date and time, when & where to watch Kevin Warsh's speech”

51/ 100, notable

What happened

Before the open on Thursday 29 October, the Nifty 50 stands at its last close of 22,698.85 (−0.22% in that session). 1 overnight report covers US Federal Reserve.

Who it moved

IT
−1.98% last session
Financials
+0.47% last session
Metals
−0.32% last session

Nifty 50 22,698.85 (−0.22%), India VIX 16.36, as of 29 Oct, 08:30 IST.

How we scored it

Method
Market impact (25%)42

Based on the −1.98% move in IT against a usual daily swing of 1.90%.

Company impact (15%)64

20 of the 50 Nifty 50 companies are in the industries this touches.

Investor relevance (15%)65

The fixed weight for US Federal Reserve.

News velocity (15%)20

1 report from 1 publisher in the last 18 hours.

Search interest (10%)25

1 publisher ran it within six hours of the first report. This stands in for search data, which has no free source in India.

Historical significance (10%)53

Outcomes after comparable sessions were 1.05 times as spread out as usual.

Data availability (10%)100

4 of the 4 inputs we use were available.

What followed similar days

We found 802 past sessions when the Nifty moved down by a similar amount since 1 November 2016. Five sessions later the Nifty was higher 55% of the time. The median move was +0.3% after five sessions and −0.04% the next day.

Higher by more than 1%

35% of similar days

A quarter of these sessions gained +1.4% or more five sessions later.

Within 1% either way

38% of similar days

The median move five sessions later was +0.3%.

Lower by more than 1%

27% of similar days

A quarter of these sessions fell −1.1% or worse five sessions later.

What happened after similar days in the past, five sessions on. This is history, not a forecast or a target. Daily closes: Yahoo Finance.

Our take

We score this a notable event, 51 out of 100. Across 802 past sessions when the Nifty moved down by a similar amount since 2016, the Nifty was higher five sessions later 55% of the time, with a median move of +0.3%. The record is balanced, with no clear lean either way. This describes what has happened before; it is not a forecast or a recommendation.

Reports we counted

Written automatically from public data using fixed rules; no person picks the event or edits the numbers. This is market information, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. See the disclaimer.

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