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Government and SEBI policy · Morning edition · Monday 2 November 2026

Government and SEBI policy is the event to watch today

7 reports since yesterday, led by The Economic Times: “GST collections jump 22.9% to Rs 2.31 lakh crore in October as festive demand beats high inflation and interest rates”

64/ 100, significant

What happened

Before the open on Monday 2 November, the Nifty 50 stands at its last close of 23,053.10 (+0.51% in that session). 7 overnight reports cover government and SEBI policy.

Who it moved

PSU banks
−0.93% last session
Infra
+0.07% last session
Financials
+0.03% last session

Nifty 50 23,053.10 (+0.51%), India VIX 15.45, as of 2 Nov, 08:30 IST.

How we scored it

Method
Market impact (25%)30

Based on the −0.93% move in PSU banks against a usual daily swing of 1.24%.

Company impact (15%)51

16 of the 50 Nifty 50 companies are in the industries this touches.

Investor relevance (15%)60

The fixed weight for government and SEBI policy.

News velocity (15%)100

7 reports from 4 publishers in the last 18 hours.

Search interest (10%)100

4 publishers ran it within six hours of the first report. This stands in for search data, which has no free source in India.

Historical significance (10%)45

Outcomes after comparable sessions were 0.91 times as spread out as usual.

Data availability (10%)100

4 of the 4 inputs we use were available.

What followed similar days

We found 1113 past sessions when the Nifty moved up by a similar amount since 7 November 2016. Five sessions later the Nifty was higher 58% of the time. The median move was +0.3% after five sessions and +0.09% the next day.

Higher by more than 1%

34% of similar days

A quarter of these sessions gained +1.4% or more five sessions later.

Within 1% either way

45% of similar days

The median move five sessions later was +0.3%.

Lower by more than 1%

21% of similar days

A quarter of these sessions fell −0.8% or worse five sessions later.

What happened after similar days in the past, five sessions on. This is history, not a forecast or a target. Daily closes: Yahoo Finance.

Our take

We score this a significant event, 64 out of 100. Across 1113 past sessions when the Nifty moved up by a similar amount since 2016, the Nifty was higher five sessions later 58% of the time, with a median move of +0.3%. The record leans positive, but a quarter of those sessions still saw −0.8% or worse. This describes what has happened before; it is not a forecast or a recommendation.

Reports we counted

Written automatically from public data using fixed rules; no person picks the event or edits the numbers. This is market information, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. See the disclaimer.

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