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RBI policy · Closing edition · Wednesday 4 November 2026

RBI policy: realty rose 2.9% as the Nifty rose 0.6%

7 reports since yesterday, led by Business Standard: “Equitas appoints Balaji Nuthalapadi interim CEO, subject to RBI nod”

79/ 100, major

What happened

The Nifty 50 rose 0.63% to close at 23,960.60, and India VIX ended at 15.27. Among the sectors this touches, realty moved most, +2.85%.

Who it moved

Realty
+2.85% today
Auto
+1.16% today
Financials
+0.88% today

Nifty 50 23,960.60 (+0.63%), India VIX 15.27, as of 4 Nov, 15:45 IST.

How we scored it

Method
Market impact (25%)70

Based on the +2.85% move in realty against a usual daily swing of 1.63%.

Company impact (15%)54

17 of the 50 Nifty 50 companies are in the industries this touches.

Investor relevance (15%)90

The fixed weight for RBI policy.

News velocity (15%)100

7 reports from 4 publishers in the last 18 hours.

Search interest (10%)100

4 publishers ran it within six hours of the first report. This stands in for search data, which has no free source in India.

Historical significance (10%)45

Outcomes after comparable sessions were 0.91 times as spread out as usual.

Data availability (10%)100

4 of the 4 inputs we use were available.

What followed similar days

We found 1140 past sessions when the Nifty moved up by a similar amount since 7 November 2016. Five sessions later the Nifty was higher 59% of the time. The median move was +0.4% after five sessions and +0.09% the next day.

Higher by more than 1%

34% of similar days

A quarter of these sessions gained +1.4% or more five sessions later.

Within 1% either way

45% of similar days

The median move five sessions later was +0.4%.

Lower by more than 1%

21% of similar days

A quarter of these sessions fell −0.8% or worse five sessions later.

What happened after similar days in the past, five sessions on. This is history, not a forecast or a target. Daily closes: Yahoo Finance.

Our take

We score this a major event, 79 out of 100. Across 1140 past sessions when the Nifty moved up by a similar amount since 2016, the Nifty was higher five sessions later 59% of the time, with a median move of +0.4%. The record leans positive, but a quarter of those sessions still saw −0.8% or worse. This describes what has happened before; it is not a forecast or a recommendation.

Reports we counted

Written automatically from public data using fixed rules; no person picks the event or edits the numbers. This is market information, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past patterns do not guarantee future results. See the disclaimer.

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